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BTC/USD Forex Signal - 9 April 2018

By Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

By: DailyForex

Last Thursday’s signals were not triggered, as there was insufficiently bearish price action when $6,918.

Today’s BTC/USD Signals

Risk 0.75% per trade.

Trades may only be entered before 5pm Tokyo time, during the next 24-hour period.

Short Trade

  • Go short after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $7,250.
  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.
  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $200 in profit by price.
  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $200 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

Long Trade

  • Go long after a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $6,900.
  • Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.
  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $200 in profit by price.
  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $200 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

BTC/USD Analysis

Last Thursday I took a bearish bias and pointed towards an opportunity to go short from a resistance level which ultimately held convincingly, so it was a good forecast over the short term. The situation has subsequently become more bullish, with the resistant area becoming flipped to support at $6,900 and the break of the bearish trend line (shown in the price chart below). I would now take a bullish bias above $6,900 until $7,250 is reached. A break above that level would be a sign of increasing bullishness as it is a key psychological level. Profit targets on longs are probably best being relatively conservative as there is a long-term bearish trend.

BTC/USD

There is nothing due regarding the USD. 

Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

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