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Gold Forecast: Struggles at Resistance Barrier

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
  • Gold has pulled back from the crucial $2,400 level during trading on Thursday, which is an area that has been important multiple times.
  • With that being said, I think we are just simply entering some type of consolidation area more than anything else.
  • The $2,400 level above continues to be an area that I'll be paying close attention to, and therefore, if we can break above there on a daily close, then I'm interested in getting long.

If we pull back from here, then the market could drop all the way down to the $2,300 level, which of course is a major support level based on the previous action. And now that the 50 day EMA is racing towards that level, it makes a lot of sense that traders will continue to look at that as a short term flaw in general, and I think this is a market that remains bullish. But you could make an argument for an attempt at least to form a little bit of a double top. A lot of this will come down to interest rates, especially in the United States. So, we'll see how that goes. If interest rates start to really spike, that could work against gold.

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But at the same time, we do have central banks around the world buying gold. Hand over fist. Let's not forget all of those massive geopolitical issues that are still out there waiting to cause headaches. So, with that being said, I don't have any interest in shorting gold, at least not at the moment.

Gold Forecast Today 17/5: Struggles at Barrier (graph)

At this point in time, I look at a pullback as more likely than not going to be a buying opportunity in general. This is a market that I think continues to be very volatile, but that's not really that new for gold, and as such, traders should be cautious about getting “too big” in this market. This is a positive market overall, but at this point, it is obvious that a certain amount of discretion is necessary when putting money to work, instead of just piling into this market.

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
 

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