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USD/ILS Analysis: Slight Volatility and Return to Lower Trading Realm

By Robert Petrucci
Robert Petrucci has worked in the Forex, commodity, and financial profession since 1993. Important aspects of his work involve risk analysis and advisory services. As an advisor in a Family Office he maintains a conservative approach for wealth management and investments. Robert also works in private finance with investors and companies delivering financial and management services.

The USD/ILS did hit a high of nearly 3.63200 early this week, but since producing this brief amount of volatility the currency pair has again traversed slightly lower and remains in a calm price range.

USD/ILS Analysis Today 30/01: Slight Volatility (graph)

The USD/ILS did produce momentary turbulence early this week as financial institutions perhaps reacted to developing news regarding the Middle East conflict, but the move which hit the 3.63200 vicinity did start to see incremental selling. The USD/ILS as of this writing is near the 3.58725 mark with fast fluctuations being demonstrated.

The ability of the USD/ILS to return to values below the 3.60000 yesterday could be seen as important regarding outlook. The low produced last Wednesday near the 3.53175 ratio does seem as if it proved it remains solid support. After producing a solid downturn the past few months, perhaps the USD/ILS has sold off to a level in which financial institutions feel the ‘war premium’ for the Israeli Shekel has now been refunded and fair market prices will continue to be tested.

Equilibrium and Steady Price Range

The price velocity lower within the USD/ILS for the moment has certainly run into durable support. Yesterday’s cautious sounding Federal Reserve may also keep the USD/ILS from moving too much in the near-term. The range between 3.54000 to 3.60000 could prove to be an intriguing speculative range for the USD/ILS moving forward.

The Middle East conflict is certainly still lurking in the shadows, but financial institutions clearly are counting on optimistic days ahead. Having said this, the USD/ILS is trading within a vicinity that it traversed in the spring of 2023. Support around the 3.53000 to 3.50000 may prove hard to penetrate lower because of fundamental economic reasons.

Speculative Trading in the USD/ILS Near-Term

The USD/ILS which has seen a rather solid amount of volatility early this past week may find the next couple of days producing a rather calm test of the current price range. Behavioral sentiment in the USD/ILS remains a legitimate concern depending on news developments.

  • This means price action may continue to see rather robust moves early on Monday, if there is news that financial institutions are reacting to which has developed over the weekend.
  • However, the current range of the USD/ILS may open the door to looking at resistance levels above near the 3.60000 mark as a place to consider speculative selling wagers in the near-term.
  • Risk management should be used in the USD/ILS, and holding a position over the weekend could lead to surprises because of sudden loud news, so this is not advised.
  • Having said that the USD/ILS looks like it will remain tranquil near-term.

USD/ILS Short Term Outlook:

Current Resistance: 3.58940

Current Support: 3.57900

High Target: 3.61300

Low Target: 3.55700

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Robert Petrucci
Robert Petrucci has worked in the Forex, commodity, and financial profession since 1993. Important aspects of his work involve risk analysis and advisory services. As an advisor in a Family Office he maintains a conservative approach for wealth management and investments. Robert also works in private finance with investors and companies delivering financial and management services.

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