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Silver Forecast: Gives Up Early Gains

By Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
  • So far silver has initially rallied during the trading session on Tuesday, but you can see we've given back some of that momentum.
  • That does make a certain amount of sense because when you look at the chart back in the middle of October, we saw a lot of noise between $33 and $35 above.
  • There is going to be a lot of market memory to chew through in this area.

So therefore, I think you do have a high likelihood of this market going back and forth. Beyond that, we've also seen the U.S. dollar strengthen quite significantly during the U.S. session. And that will put a little bit of weight on silver.

I Still Prefer Gold

Silver Forecast Today 19/03: Gives Up Early Gains (graph)

Contrast silver with gold, which had reached a new all-time high overnight. Then you begin to see why I always tend to side a little bit more with gold, although I do recognize that when precious metals get flying, silver brings huge rewards. Speaking of those huge rewards, this is a market that is extraordinarily volatile, and you should keep in mind that the contract size is bigger. So, make sure you're sized appropriately. The $33.33 level underneath should continue to be support, but this little bit of a beat down later in the day does give a little bit of reason for pause.

I do think though, at the end of the day, it's still very much a buy on the dip market. And I think that we will go looking at the $35 level eventually. I certainly have no interest in shorting silver, although if we were to break down below the $32 level, then we would have to look at the fundamental scenario out there. But right now, this just looks like more volatility than anything else.

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Christopher Lewis
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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